Thailand News October 2019 Issue

ICHX’s iSTOX Revs Up for a 2020 Launch

Singapore’s Security Token Exchange Thunders Onto the Market

Over the last couple of years, security token offerings (STOs) have been quietly percolating as an alternative to the unconstrained and uncertain basis that ICOs had previously offered. As an investment in an STO is directly attached to some real-world, tangible item such as assets or revenue, investors can feel much more comfortable agreeing to support such a project, knowing that this real-world connection exists.

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Thailand News September 2019 Issue

Digital Assets Accelerate Thailand’s Bond Market

Digital Assets Continue to Drive Innovation in Thailand

Thailand has driven through several new implementations of blockchain and digital assets over the past year. In April, the Siam Commercial Bank tested blockchain for cross-border business-to-business payments. In May, the Bank of Thailand built a blockchain-based system to settle payments more cheaply and quickly. Now, the Bond Association of Thailand has announced that it will issue a digital asset to provide those same benefits to the bond market and streamline yet another aspect of Thailand’s banking system.

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Thailand News August 2019 Issue

Effects of the American-Chinese Trade War

How to Diversify and Adjust the Sails for What Lies Ahead

It has long been the opinion that the global economy is due for a significant correction for some time. For a time, such talk was resigned to mere pessimism or doomsaying without any real-world basis. There is now more factual, hard evidence that can no longer be ignored. However, with all global economic phenomena, not all countries are impacted the same way. There is mounting evidence that the Southeast Asia region will be affected much more strongly than most when the inevitable downturn does arrive, and a wise asset manager would do well to search for opportunities abroad to invest in to diversify their portfolio.

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Thailand News July 2019 Issue

Baht Surge Causes Thai Central Bank to Pull the Reins

What a Stronger Baht Means for the Economy

The Thai baht has experienced a dramatic surge over the past year, climbing 8.3% against the dollar since 2018. This increase is the single largest appreciation of any foreign currency to USD in this timeframe, and has implications for not only the economy of Thailand, but also the digital asset market considering how deeply ingrained it is into the Thai economy. The government is considering its options as such a surge could potentially be deleterious for the country if not addressed properly.

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Thailand News June 2019 Issue

Southeast Asia: A Growing Market Hotspot

Surging Economies and Opportunities Abound

The countries of Southeast Asia that comprise the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), including Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia, Vietnam, Laos, Brunei, Singapore, and the Philippines are currently undergoing dramatic market shifts that are projected to propel this region to become the fourth largest world economy subsection by 2025. Their surging economies combined with the region becoming a hub of digital asset adoption represents a trove of opportunity for investors in this space. Three key measurements, in particular, are of interest here, including the growing economic muster of millennials and digital natives, the growing penetration of smartphones and other digitalizing measures, and the continuing growth and integration of technology and computer services within company operations in the region.

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Thailand News April 2019 Issue

Government Endorsement Brings New Opportunities for Underserved Populations
Thailand’s Acceptance And Adoption

This month brings several exciting developments for Thailand as the Thai government continues to lead the world in cryptocurrency acceptance and adoption. The Thai SEC has authorized an ICO portal to screen projects, perform due diligence, and field other regulations to help balance the needs for investor protection and to reduce regulatory obstacles. The Krungthai Bank of Thailand has endorsed an Ethereum-based blockchain remittance system, in cooperation with the Shwe Bank of Myanmar. This good news comes on the heels of a spike of nearly 20% in the price of Bitcoin, well ahead of the estimated halving point of May 2020.

 

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Thailand News March 2019 Issue

STOs Awakening in Thailand
Thailand Poised to Offer Securities Via Blockchain

 

  Thai/ไทย Version

 

On Friday, February 22, Thailand’s parliament officially allowed securities to be issued over blockchain. This exciting development comes from an amendment endorsed by the National Legislative Assembly. When the rules take effect later in 2019, Thai securities such as stocks and bonds could be issued via blockchain instead of through traditional means. Over the coming months, the Thai SEC will issue provisions that allow businesses utilizing blockchain to apply for depository licenses. Previously, only the Thailand Security Depository Co, Ltd, a subsidiary of the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) could issue securities.

The language in the amendment references cryptocurrency-based initial public offerings (IPOs) and initial coin offerings (ICOs), but also refers to security token offerings (STOs), a new method of establishing capital that is poised to explode in the next few years. The Thai SEC will decide whether STOs will be regulated under existing securities regulations or new regulations for digital assets; which set of regulations will likely be determined on a token-by-token basis, as these tokens have much in common with both traditional securities as well as digital investment options. If a given offering represents features more commonly associated with traditional securities, such as profit sharing, dividends, or voting, then it would be presumed to be a traditional security, even though it is delivered electronically via blockchain. STOs that pay interest and repay the principal would instead be declared as a debt instrument.

 

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Thailand News February 2019 Issue

Thailand’s LTF Changes
How This Affects Thai Citizens Investing Potential

For the past decade, investors in Thailand have found LTFs to be a safe haven for all levels of income, as they have shown themselves to be accessible, profitable, and most importantly, a tax haven. However, game-changing alterations to the LTF structure are pending which will require Thai investors to react appropriately to enjoy the same returns they have experienced in the past.

Why LTFs Have Worked – and How the Game is Changing

LTFs entered the Thai market in 2004 and soon found themselves popular with investors, as they could deduct up to a minimum of 15% of taxable income or 500,000 baht, whichever is lower – and this made them very similar to the 401(k) investment vehicle which proved very popular in the United States. The most immediate benefit is the tax haven, as this means that even if an investment dips in value it may break even at the bottom line as compared to using that same money as a taxable investment, especially since LTFs were exempt from capital gains. Of course, there were stipulations involved, as investors must hold LTF units for a minimum of seven calendar years, but it was simple to implement them as a long-term investment option in a balanced portfolio.

That, however, is now changing. Although the Thai Finance Ministry has extended the LTF tax haven in the past, it will not be extended for 2019. A substitute option is being proposed, which increases the investment holding period to ten years, restricts the fund options further to a set of infrastructure and Thailand Sustainability Investment funds, and reduces the tax write-off from 500,000 baht to 100,000 baht. Though none of these changes are particularly desirable for investors, such a marked decrease in the taxable income write-off will particularly sting. An 80% reduction in the tax haven means that investors may be better served seeking another vehicle for the balance.



RMFs represent another tax-advantaged option, as the 500,000 baht yearly deduction will remain in place. However, once RMF contributions begin, they must continue every year with at least 3% of annual taxable income. Additionally, the investment must be held until age 55. For young investors looking for long-term gains that intend to eventually use that for, say, a property purchase later on, they become wholly unsuitable for such a purpose; a function that LTFs functioned quite admirably prior to the pending changes. Therefore, it stands to reason that diversification is necessary.

When A Door Closes, A Window Opens

Both RMFs and LTFs represent options for long-term minded investors. As stated previously, both RMFs and the proposed LTF replacement have drawbacks that investors might find as deal-breakers. The LTF replacement is severely curtailed in the amount that can be invested pre-tax, while RMFs represent a commitment that may be untenably long and laborious. Blockchain and crypto assets are an exciting new option to potentially fill this void.

The first benefit of crypto is that it represents the best of both worlds for a long-term asset: one that has already demonstrated proven, verifiable returns, and one that also has enormous room for growth. Even though bitcoin had a significant price drop over the past year of nearly 80%, the value gain from five years prior is still well over 300% even after accounting for this historic event. Going back earlier still, the value change can be measured at 10,000% or even higher. Crypto has been quite unfairly positioned as a “get rich quick” scheme when the statistics paint quite the opposite story: those that have purchased early and held the course have reaped rewards far outpacing stock market gains over the same time frame. For the long-term investor seeking the flexibility to access their funds when needed, blockchain holds many of the positive aspects of existing, traditional investment options.

Secondly, there is a wide-open vista for cryptocurrency that has so far been widely untapped. Despite the overall price gains of the past five years, only 3% of the worldwide population participates in the cryptocurrency market. There are new service offerings being launched over the next year that will grow this market by leaps and bounds as procedural and technical barriers to entry get broken down. With the impending launch of Bakkt, a global cryptocurrency market that will empower users to not only pay for common, everyday purchases with crypto, but also provide a regulated environment for developers to pursue new projects in. With increased demand spurred on by new user adoption, this will create more room for new crypto and blockchain offerings, which translates into a strengthened, healthier market as well as new investment opportunities.

The third benefit is the simple diversification of not only the investor’s funds but also of the market itself. The government-mandated changes to Thai LTFs are a reminder that there is absolutely no guarantee that government-endorsed investment options that exist today will be there the next year. If LTFs are subject to change, then the same thing could happen to RMFs or any other option. Cryptocurrency is global and its growth and development are not beholden to the whims of a single government body. If a single country happens to implement regulations on crypto, then that will only impact the crypto market to the proportion of that country’s participation in the market, and not the entire market itself.

Final Thoughts

The loss of tax advantages will surely be felt in the Thai marketplace. If no LTF-style tax-advantaged fund options are provided, the Thai equity market could stand to lose nearly 19 million baht in LTF contributions per year. This creates a void for investors seeking new opportunities, and that money will have to flow somewhere. Thailand is quickly becoming a blockchain hotspot as the Thai government has proven itself incredibly welcoming of the cryptocurrency space; in some ways with regulation and government recognizance, it is even ahead of the United States. The cryptocurrency space provides a brand new opportunity that is ready and open for business to fill the void in the Thai equity market.

If you have questions about our fund or would like to be sent investor documents, you can contact our investor relations department at contact@varys.capital.

Regards,

Darius & Saul
Managing Partners

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